Your Wednesday weather: Heavy rain over the country, flooding for the Eastern Cape
15-04-2020
By Chris Fallen
Image: SA Weather
Heavy rain is set to batter most parts of the country on Wednesday, the South African Weather Service says.
Warning:
Heavy rain leading to localised flooding is expected along the Wild Coast and adjacent interior in the Eastern Cape.
The weather in your region: Gauteng will be partly cloudy and cool with morning fog patches, becoming fine from late afternoon.The expected UVB sunburn index is moderate.
Mpumalanga will be partly cloudy and cool to warm with isolated thundershowers, but scattered in the east, clearing from the afternoon.
As for Limpopo, it will be cloudy and warm, but hot on the Lowveld with isolated thundershowers.
The North West will have morning fog patches over the central and eastern parts, otherwise partly cloudy and cool, but warm in the north-east, becoming fine in the afternoon.
There will be morning fog patches over the central parts of the Free State, otherwise partly cloudy and cool.
The Northern Cape will be cool in the south, otherwise fine and warm. Morning fog patches can be expected along the coast.
The wind along the coast will be light to moderate southerly to south-easterly.
The Western Cape will have morning and evening fog in places along the west coast, otherwise fine to partly cloudy and warm, but cool in places in the south-west and along the south coast.
The wind along the coast will be light northerly to north-westerly along the south coast at first, otherwise south-easterly becoming southerly to south-westerly along the entire coastline from the afternoon.
It will become light to moderate north-westerly along the south-west and south coast from the evening.The expected UVB sunburn index is high.
The western half of the Eastern Cape will be cloudy with isolated showers along the coast east of Cape St Francis and adjacent interior, otherwise partly cloudy and cool.
The wind along the coast will be light to moderate westerly.The eastern half of the Eastern Cape will be cloudy and cool with isolated to scattered showers and thundershowers, but widespread along the coast and adjacent interior.
The wind along the coast will be moderate to fresh south-westerly.
There will be morning fog over the interior, otherwise it will be cloudy and cool, but cold in the south-west of KwaZulu-Natal. Isolated showers and thundershowers are expected, but scattered in the north-east.
The wind along the coast will be moderate southerly to south-westerly.
The expected UVB sunburn index is moderate.
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*Current Status of Cases of COVID-19 in South Africa*
15-04-2020
By Chris Fallen
Total cases: 2415
143 New cases
410 Full recoveries (Confirmed Negative)
27 Deaths
The breakdown per province of total infections is as follows:
GAUTENG 909
WESTERN CAPE 643
KWAZULU – NATAL 489
EASTERN CAPE 174
FREE STATE 98
LIMPOPO 24
MPUMALANGA 22
NORTH WEST 22
NORTHERN CAPE 16
UNALLOCATED 18
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News put South Africa first
Why Africa’s coronavirus outbreak appears slower than anticipated
By Chris Fallen
13/04/2020
Coronavirus cases on the rise throughout Africa
Africa races to contain the growing number of Covid-19 cases sweeping the continent and tighter measures are being enforced as the virus spreads beyond capital cities. The World Health Organization says the total number of beds in intensive care u…
When Africa’s first case of coronavirus was detected in Egypt in February, the rest of the continent prepared for the brunt of a pandemic that has engulfed Europe and spread to the United States, infecting more than 1.6 million worldwide.
Health experts warned of the devastation the deadly virus could cause in Africa, where most hospitals are desperately short of equipment and trained staff.
Coronavirus has since spread to 52 African countries, but despite a steady rise in the number of confirmed cases, the continent continues to lag behind the global curve for infections and deaths.
Ramaphosa extends coronavirus lockdown by two weeks
South African President Cyril Ramaphosa announces that the nationwide lockdown is to be extended for an additonal two week period beyond the initial 21 days.
Still, the World Health Organization last month warned Africa faced a dramatic evolution of the pandemic even as governments imposed restrictions to help curb the spread. The continent appears poorly equipped to manage a major health crisis and is struggling to test enough to monitor virus cases.
Where does Africa stand?
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To date the novel respiratory disease has infected more than 12 800 people on the continent and killed at least 692, according to a tally compiled by AFP.
Only the Comoros archipelago and the tiny kingdom of Lesotho have not yet detected any cases.
South Africa is the worst-affected country, with over 2 000 confirmed cases and 25 recorded deaths so far – well behind the more than 871 000 cases and 71 000 deaths counted in Europe to date.
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Experts, however, warn that the tide is rising.
“During the last four days we can see that the numbers have already doubled,” said Michel Yao, the World Health Organisation (WHO) Africa’s emergency response programme manager.
“If the trend continues… some countries may face a huge peak very soon,” Yao said.
WHO Africa Director Matshidiso Moeti echoed the concern, adding that the spread of Covid-19 outside major cities opened “a new front in our fight against this virus”.
Are numbers underestimated?
Possibly the greatest question mark in analyses of coronavirus in Africa, compounded by a global lack of testing capacity.
Despite a donation of more than one million coronavirus testing kits by Chinese billionaire Jack Ma, most African countries lack the equipment needed to detect the disease.
South Africa has so far only managed to test around 73 000 of its 57 million inhabitants.
“This is way too low for the kind of challenges South Africa is facing,” said Health Minister Zweli Mkhize, who is aiming to scale up to 30 000 tests per day.
Nigeria, Africa’s biggest economy, has only carried out 5 000 coronavirus tests to date for a country of 190 million people.
“The testing system is quite overloaded,” admitted a doctor working at a private clinic in Lagos, who asked not to be identified.
“It takes time for… the results,” he added. “And are they accurate? We don’t know.”
Pandemic hits aid work in sub-Saharan Africa
Inability to test for the virus has forced several countries to work with vague and sometimes misleading estimates.
Kenya, for instance, has predicted its number of coronavirus cases to reach 10 000 by the end of April.
Ten days into the month, the number of detected infections remained lower than 200.
Director General of Kenya’s health ministry, Patrick Amoth earlier this week said that was because they had not done community-based testing.
Kenya has since received 7 000 testing kits and machines that can process up to 3 000 samples in two hours. The government aims to roll out mass testing within the next three weeks.
“We utilise these machines to reach a bigger population so that we can be able to tell… if we are winning the battle or if we need to change our strategy,” Amoth said during a televised briefing on Saturday.
The head of the Africa Centres for Disease Control and Prevention, John Nkengasong, admitted that Africa’s coronavirus statistics were far from “perfect”.
“We just lack the means,” he said.
But Nkengasong dismissed claims that a high number of infections had slipped under the radar, pointing out that hospitals “would be flooded with people” if that was the case.
Have lockdowns, curfews worked?
The delayed spread of coronavirus gave African countries some leeway to roll out the same measures implemented in Europe to stem the disease.
Governments across the continent reacted ahead of time, closing borders and imposing lockdowns and curfews when just a handful of cases had been detected.
Those measures have been tricky to enforce in impoverished and densely populated neighbourhoods, where houses are overcrowded and most survive off informal work – making it almost impossible to remain home.
The WHO’s Moeti cautioned that it was “too early to say” whether anti-coronavirus measures were slowing the epidemic in Africa.
Meanwhile, President Cyril Ramaphosa said earlier this week that there was “sufficient evidence” to show that a nation-wide lockdown was “working”.
“In the two weeks before the lockdown, the average daily increase in new cases was around 42%. Since the start of the lockdown, the average daily increase has been around 4%,” Ramaphosa said on Thursday, as he announced an extension of the 21-day shutdown.
Has Africa had enough time to prepare?
The time gained by African governments could be offset by a lack of means.
“There is a severe shortage of treatment facilities for critical cases of Covid-19,” said a WHO statement.
Botswana MPs duck self-quarantine, are caught shopping and sent back to isolation
There are barely five intensive care unit beds per one million people in Africa, compared to 4 000 in Europe, according to the organisation.
Public hospitals only have 2 000 medical ventilators between them to serve the whole continent.
Still no one dares make any predictions on the proportions the novel coronavirus could reach in Africa.
The WHO noted that 31 countries on the continent had less than 100 confirmed cases and believed “containment was possible”.
Yet the threat remains.
“Covid-19 has the potential to cause thousands of deaths,” said the WHO’s Moeti. “To also unleash economic and social devastation.”
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News put South Africa first
Two British citizens arrested in Durban after allegedly entering SA illegally
By Chris Fallen
13-04-2020
Two British citizens were arrested in Durban on Sunday for allegedly illegally entering the country from Swaziland.
Two British citizens, were arrested in Durban on Sunday, accused of illegally entering the country from Swaziland.
The two men, aged 24 and 33, were arrested at a guest house in Umbilo together with the 42-year-old guest house owner.
Police spokesperson Brig Vishnu Naidoo report on Saturday, the men had driven through Swaziland. When they arrived at the Golela border post, they were denied entry into SA and informed to return to Swaziland.
“The suspects instead disregarded the order and drove off at high speed into SA and evaded the police who had given chase.”
Naidoo said members from the Vehicle Crime Investigation Unit and Tracker Connect proceeded to a guest house in Umbilo in Glenmore after receiving information of British nationals arriving illegally in SA as well as being illegally in possession of a hired vehicle.
“The VCIU members together with our Diplomatic Policing Unit proceeded to the guest house where they arrested the two British citizens. The manager of the guest house was also arrested for violation of Covid-19 regulations and also detained at a local police station.”
Naidoo said the hired vehicle was seized and impounded.
“The department of health has also been summoned to examine the suspects for possible infection of the Covid-19 virus.
“Investigations are being continued for possible further charges against the two suspects as they have not paid the rental company for continued use of the vehicle, and also possible violation of the Immigration Act,” he said.
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“Actor” Bulelani Mbhele known as Bhabha, hitting our screens, with brilliant acting Talent.
13-04-2020
By Chris Fallen
Image: M.B
Interview with actor Bulelani Mbhele known as Bhabha.
I am Bulelani Mbhele known as Bhabha ,25 years of age. I’m from Durban, Illovu township but now based in Tembisa, Johannesburg.
I’ve always had a passion for all forms of art, be it drawing, singing , acting etc and always participated in our school activities. I can’t really point out who inspired me cause I’ve always had that desire to follow my passion.
The official stamp that inspired my acting passion was when I won best actor award at the Gauteng Province Shashalazi awards in (imuphi unyaka mbuzi?).
I remember in grade 10, we had an arts period and my teacher Mrs Nyide saw that I have a gift in acting and she make it a point that it is nurtured. From then I would always get various acting roles in the school plays and in most cases we would even win competitions against other schools.
My first real acting role was at Umvuzo media in a play called The Wedding directed by Mphathi Shozi. The play was at the Durban Playhouse and was aimed at raising awareness to the drug whoonga. I played an opinionated uncle who drove taxis and very protective in his own way.
My proudest role was when I had a role on the TV show Ufelani because it made me believe in my artistic skill so much. I also recently played a good supporting role being Ibutho lakes Omuhle on the TV show Ifalakhe.
Currently I am busy with the Gauteng Ishashalazi Thearte Festival. We are doing a shown called The Curse which I play Wizard.
I see myself being so invested in my art and being recognized for my talent. I wish to play leading roles in shows that will do so well and in turn inspire people especially the ones from rural areas that see success far fetched because of their family structure and insufficient resources.
During my spare time I write. I practice writing stories or films based on things I have seen throughout my childhood. I also get inspiration from people surrounding me of which I share the same inspiration with.
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South Africa considering options to save the school year – including scrapping holidays
12-04-2020
By Chris Fallen
The Department of Basic Education is considering a number of options to help salvage South Africa’s school year after the country’s lockdown was extended by a further two weeks.
Some of the possibilities being considered include:
Earlier starts to the school day;
Evening and weekend classes;
Scrapping “nonessential” parts of the curriculum in certain subjects;
Scrapping the June and September school holidays.
Education minister Angie Motshekga will make the final proposals to a special cabinet meeting scheduled for this week.
A committee is also looking at whether the writing of the June exams by pupils in grades 1-12 should go ahead or be postponed, said departmental spokesperson, Elijah Mhlanga.
“The entire school calendar has now shifted, so anything is possible,” he said.
“The breaks could be shortened. Teachers could teach until the afternoon and maybe learners could go home and come back and lessons could go on into the evening.”
School calendar
All of South Africa’s schools were closed on 18 March as part of social distancing measuresd before the lockdown was even announced.
Motshekga had originally said that schools should resume again on 14 April 2020 – unless determined otherwise. This meant that 10 school days would be lost as a result of the school closures.
With South Africa’s lockdown now extended until the end of April, government had to look at other options to save the school year.
One of these measures is the broadcasting of school lessons on the SABC. Programmes started on Thursday (9 April) and are broadcast across three SABC TV channels and 13 radio stations, with online support.
“The series will provide curriculum support lessons to learners in Grades 10, 11 and 12 and Early Childhood Development (ECD),” the Department of Basic Education said.
“Some of the subjects covered include Maths, Physical Sciences, English First Additional Language, Life Sciences and Accounting. A variety of African languages are also covered under the early childhood development basket,” it said.
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News put South Africa first
Actor Pallance Dladla (Jabulani Zungu) leaves Isibaya
By Chris Fallen
12-04-2020
Image: Pallance Dladla/Instagram
The exodus of actors in the daily Mzansi Magic drama series, Isibaya, seems to be continuing unabated.
This comes after it emerged that another prominent actor in the show, Pallance Dladla, who plays the role of Jabulani Zungu, has dumped the show.
According to insiders, the actor has even stopped reporting for duty.
“Pallance stopped reporting for duty before the national lockdown. His role was scrapped and they are busy planning his exit. From last month, Pallance was not reporting for duty, which prompted the producers of the show to come with new ideas to cover his part,” the source said.
Isibaya publicist Karabo Maroga denied Dladla was leaving.
“Pallance requested a break to go to the US for March and April to do an acting course and explore international contacts for his acting career. He did a similar thing in 2019. This was arranged through his agent MLA,”
“There is nothing unusual around this. Actors do many things at the same time. You might recall Pallance also shot the Netflix series Shadow while doing Isibaya. We are supportive of actors building their careers and if they get a great opportunity, then we discuss with them and their agent.
“Pallance was due to return to South Africa and shoot Isibaya in early May. He then had his plans affected while in the US due to Covid-19 as we all have.”
According to insiders, the producers had briefed other cast members about Dladla’s exit from the show. “He is leaving the show. We don’t know whether the producers of the show will change their minds after the lockdown about letting Pallance go,”
Maroga also explained the situation of Siyabonga Thwala, who plays the role of Mpiyakhe Zungu. Thwala was no longer shooting with Isibaya.
“Mr Thwala lives in KZN … We stopped all cast flying from KZN to JHB as soon as the travel warnings were put in place. This affected a few scenes with Mr Thwala, which we worked around.”
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News put South Africa first
Three soldiers test positive for Covid-19, 15 awaiting results
By Chris Fallen
12-04-2020
Image: SANDF/ Facebook
Three members of the SANDF have tested positive for the coronavirus.
Three members of the defence force have tested positive for the coronavirus.
This comes as hundreds of soldiers conue to enforce lockdown compliance across the country in a bid to curb the spread of Covid-19.
In a message posted on the SANDF official Facebook page on Saturday, Surgeon General of the SANDF Lt-Gen Zola Dabula said the army would take deliberate measures to curb the spread.
He revealed that from 184 suspected cases, 125 tests were conducted and three came back positive while the results of 15 were still pending.
Dabula said the military has identified isolation facilities for its members and their families.
”Allow me to use this opportunity and extend my sincere appreciation and thanks to all deployed SA National Defence Force members. The SA Military Health Service (SAMHS) is working around the clock to hinder and inhibit this fast-advancing destructive and unseen enemy,” he said.
As of Saturday afternoon, SA had recorded more than 2,000 cases of the coronavirus with 28 deaths from the respiratory disease.
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News put South Africa first
SA government plans for Covid-19 to peak in September but questions about data remain
12/04/2020
by Chris Fallen
Image: SA Gov/ Instagram
March was arguably the busiest month for President Cyril Ramaphosa in his tenure as head of state. Every other day, the President is putting out fires – some created unnecessarily by members of his own cabinet.
The extended five-week national lockdown has postponed South Africa’s worst-case Covid-19 scenario to September, a government projection shows.
With no lockdown, South Africa was estimated to reach its peak coronavirus infections in July. A five-week lockdown, that has paralysed the economy, is buying the government two more months to prepare for a flooding of hospitals at the end of winter.
This is according to a presentation made to Parliament’s portfolio committee on health this week by the acting director general of the department of health, Anban Pillay.
It is the most detailed official analysis yet of the current situation that has been made public since the first infection was reported at the beginning of March.
Other key findings in the presentation
In a worst-case scenario, Gauteng would see over 1.5 million Covid-19 infections at the end of winter, followed by KwaZulu-Natal with one million;
The country has less than half the number of ventilators needed to deal with peak infection. Public and private hospitals currently have a total of 3 216 ventilators, compared to the 7 000 we need, and
The country currently has 4 909 critical care hospital beds available, but the need for beds in intensive care units could exceed 14 700 at the highest level of infection.
Only “severe to critical Covid-19 patients” will be treated at hospitals, while “mild to moderately infected patients” will be accommodated at field hospitals where basic medical care will be provided.
The government’s “readiness for worst case scenario” plan was informed by research from UCT’s Modelling and Simulation Hub Africa. According to this scenario, if the lockdown was suspended this Thursday after three weeks, the peak would have hit the country around 18 August.
Pillay told MPs during a digital meeting of the committee that the health department is seeing a different trajectory in the infection rate compared to countries such as South Korea, Britain, the United States and Spain.
According to Pillay’s presentation, based on statistics prepared by Professor Tulio de Oliveira of the KwaZulu-Natal Research Innovation & Sequencing Platform (KRISP), the gradient of the curve is flatter than some countries which have been seriously affected.
The presentation, which also covers the state of readiness of both the public and private sector, tracking and tracing strategy as well as detail about hotspots across the country, was given to MPs the day after President Cyril Ramaphosa on Wednesday announced an extension to the lockdown until the end of April.
Although Ramaphosa said there is “sufficient evidence” to show the lockdown is working, but that it is too early to make a “definitive analysis of the progression of the disease”, he did not expand on which datasets, epidemiological modelling, or projections the government used to base its decision on to expand the lockdown.
It is known that the National Health Laboratory Service (NHLS), that conducts testing on behalf of government, is not close to reaching is target of 36 000 tests per day.
The president did consult widely before he announced his decision, including with opposition leaders, provincial premiers and representatives of business and labour, but he has not made public what the exact statistics or projections which informed the decision to extend the lockdown from three to five weeks are.
‘Scary’ projections
The presidency on Friday and Saturday did not respond to questions for comment.
A detailed set of questions was sent to presidential spokesperson Khusela Diko on Friday enquiring what metrics the national command council, which is co-ordinating the government’s response to the coronavirus, used to determine that the lockdown must be extended. She did not return a call or respond to a message on Saturday.
John Steenhuisen, the DA leader and leader of the opposition in the National Assembly, says the lack of data on the spread of the virus is concerning.
“There’s a complete absence of empirical data or detail about which metrics government will use to measure whether the lockdown is successful or not. They’re not playing open cards with the public.”
A senior government official privy to the decision-making process said on Saturday afternoon Ramaphosa is informed “by the best brains in the country” before he makes decisions and that extending the lockdown was based on scientific evidence put before him.
The projections which swayed Ramaphosa are “scary”, the official said, and added that government did not want to create panic.
Professor Cheryl Cohen, one of the lead epidemiologists at the National Institute for Communicable Diseases (NICD) told News24 that she hopes the projections given to government will be released soon.
Martin Kingston, the executive chairperson of Rothschild & Co in South Africa, who is co-ordinating the response to Covid-19 by all business formations through Business for South Africa, said he is “satisfied” that the decision to extend the lockdown was based on “the best available scientific evidence at the time”.
“We are in constant dynamic contact with government, from the minister of health to National Treasury, the department of labour and the department of trade and industry. I am absolutely satisfied that the decision was taken with the best available scientific evidence at the time.
“But we all know, and government acknowledges it, that testing is inadequate and needs to be expanded,” he said.
The presentation made to MPs gives insight into the the healthcare system’s state of readiness:
According to the latest available information the country has less than half the number of ventilators needed to deal with peak infection. The public healthcare system currently has 1 111 operational ventilators, with 2 105 operational in the private healthcare system for a total of 3 216 ventilators. According to projections the healthcare system would need 7 000 ventilators to deal with the virus, a shortage of 3 784.
There are currently only 3 318 critical care beds available, with 2 140 of those in private hospitals; there are 2 722 high care beds in the country, with only 1 082 of those in the public sector; there is a total of 119 416 hospital beds available, across South Africa.
During peak infection in an optimistic scenario, and with one lockdown enforced, the peak need for beds in intensive care units could exceed 14 700 beds at the highest level, and 4 100 in the lowest level.
Siviwe Gwarube, the DA’s spokesperson for health, says she is concerned that although the presentation went into more detail than anything seen before, there is still a lack of data available.
“We’re trying to access data, but what we’ve got now is wholly inadequate.”
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News put South Africa first
*Current Status of Cases of COVID-19 in South Africa* rises to 2028 confirmed cases.
12-04-2020
By Chris Fallen
Image- COVID-19 SA
Total cases: 2028
25 New cases
410 Full recoveries (Confirmed Negative)
25 Deaths
The breakdown per province of total infections is as follows:
GAUTENG 813
WESTERN CAPE 546
KWAZULU – NATAL 418
FREE STATE 94
NORTH WEST 19
MPUMALANGA 20
LIMPOPO 23
EASTERN CAPE 69
NORTHERN CAPE 16
UNALLOCATED 10
*POSITIVE CASES FROM NETCARE ST AUGUSTINE’S HOSPITAL – DURBAN, KZN*
We have received a report from KZN Health MEC, Ms Nomagugu Simelane-Zulu that KwaZulu-Natal has 11 confirmed COVID-19 cases linked to St Augustine’s Hospital, in Durban. Furthermore, 3 of the deceased patients from KZN had been admitted at the hospital.
The COVID-19 positive cases include patients, health workers and other staff members. The KZN Department of Health and Netcare management agreed that the sections of the hospital affected be closed and no new patient admissions be permitted. This is a precautionary measure to allow for a thorough identification of areas within the hospital where there may have been infection control lapses.
The areas that were exposed to positive patients are also being disinfected. At this stage more than 150 tests have been conducted within the hospital and contact tracing is underway. We have advised that more tests be done on both staff and patients in order to determine the true extent of the existence of the infection in the facility, which may call for further interventions.
As part of intensifying the contact tracing and testing process, MEC Simelane-Zulu has also requested that Netcare avails a list of its patients that were exposed to the hospital as from the beginning of March. We therefore make a public announcement that if you were a patient at St Augustine’s Hospital from 1 March 2020 to date, we request that you contact the KZN Department of Health.
We convey our deepest condolences to the families and loved ones of the deceased. We also thank the doctors, health workers and all staff members of this hospital for their commitment to serve even during these difficult times.
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